Wes Fulton and/or Carl Tarum
Phone 310-548-6358
Weibull
Engineering IN-PERSON Workshops
Produced
by Wes Fulton and/or Carl Tarum based upon the handbook by Dr. Abernethy
NOTE: Each
participant should purchase Dr. Bob Abernethy`s Weibull Handbook for delivery
prior to class. Link here: BOOK
Day IN-PERSON
Workshop: Our complete seminar features
front-to-back treatment of The New Weibull Handbook(c) latest edition. Each
attendee receives the FULL SuperSMITH(TM) software latest version including two
afternoons of hands-on computer usage, plus the PlayTIME(TM) tutorial booklet
free online covering every type of problem and every related software option.
This workshop is designed to bring the novice up to expert capability. Topics
include failure analysis, optimal parts replacement, cost analysis, failure
prediction, warranty analysis, system modeling, reliability-growth, alternate
fitting solutions, test planning, confidence, and accelerated testing.
Day Extra
Capability Workshop: The IN-PERSON Workshop Plus Either Follow Up
Consulting or More on Model Simulation . . .
The 4-day workshop includes the IN-PERSON
workshop above plus time for student presentations of their own real problems
or time for system simulation overview. Analysis of real customer problems
allows instructors and the class to serve as a consulting forum reviewing each
problem. The students are asked to bring one or more of their own problems to
the workshop. Students get consulting on their real problems and show how they
are applying the new techniques learned. Managers are invited. Alternatively,
time may be devoted to system simulation tools for building models of any level
of complexity regarding reliability, maintainability, safety, spare parts,
logistics analysis and warranty-guarantee costs including experience with
computer simulation models.
Day Management
Overview: Before or after a complete
Workshop, a half-day presentation to senior managers can provide an overview of
this new technology including application to their problems.
Day Refresher:
Weibull Rally . . . One day is devoted to
updating experienced analysts (Weibull Workshop Alumni or equivalent) on the
newest Weibull / Log-Normal technology and SuperSMITH
software. A minimum of 8 students is required. Rally students will exercise the
software using the free online PlayTIME tutorial.
This could be scheduled in conjunction with a Workshop at the same
facility resulting in a cost reduction for flight travel compared to prices
indicated below.
Fees ($USD) For Weibull Workshops in the USA, Canada and Mexico*
*Only Add the Cost of One Business-Class Airfare Ticket for Workshops Outside this Area
To
Be Purchased by/for Each Participant
Each participant should have Dr. Bob Abernethy`s Weibull Handbook purchased and
delivered to them before the start of the workshop (see above for link). This
will be the text for the presentation.
Included The workshop fees for each student include: 1) Training, 2) A FULL SuperSMITH software license (Weibull, Visual, and Ybath programs . . . for price without class Select Here), 3) Access to the free online `PlayTIME with SuperSMITH` computer tutorial, 4) Graduation certificate, 5) Instructor travel expenses (unless otherwise noted for international travel).
Site-License For clients that book 2 or more compete workshops (3 or 4 day each), we provide a current-version unlimited SuperSMITH software site license. Here ``unlimited`` means any quantity of purchaser`s workers are allowed to use the software simultaneously for purchaser`s business.
Overseas
Travel Fees for overseas Weibull
Workshops will include the additional cost for one business class airfare
ticket.
FIGURE
BELOW SHOWS RISK ANALYSIS FOR 18-WHEELER:
In-Person Workshop Advantages Tailor the workshops to your specific needs. We can
use your data and problems during the special computer tutorial. We can add, or
delete, or emphasize specific topics. The students are invited to bring their
own problems to the workshop. The cost per student can be half of the fee for
sponsored public workshops. The New Weibull Handbook is available well in
advance to allow study before the workshop. A 2-day refresher Workshop for
experienced Weibull analysts is another option. All workshop formats provide
opportunity to brief your management with a special overview of this new
technology.
New Technology Life data analysis is on the
leading edge of technology with many techniques developed by Wes and Dr. Bob.
New development and continuous improvement proceed with Wes, Carl Tarum, and
others. The workshop is updated to include all recommended state-of-the-art
methods in The New Weibull Handbook(c) self-published by Dr. Bob.
Examples:
q Failure forecasting is presented based upon constant or seasonal variation usage, optimal parts replacement, and variable production rates. Predictive interval estimates as well as point estimates of future failures are provided as tables or plots, including cost forecasting and warranty analysis.
q Warranty claims predictions include all of the above features plus warranty limit effects on claims predictions. Crow-AMSAA and Kaplan-Meier models are both used for warranty. The software uses the newly available AIAG standard truck histograms of usage.
q The new application of Weibull for controlling production processes is presented.
q Many new applications of Crow-AMSAA plus new goodness-of-fit methods.
q For small sample confidence, the new pivotal Monte Carlo method is best practice for regression and the MLE-RBA method using the justified likelihood function (JLF) eliminates the small-sample bias with MLE.
q Better ways to compare new design to old design, and supplier A vs. supplier B, etc.
Availability It is best to block in dates as soon as possible, since the lecturers are usually obligated 6-10 months ahead. There is no extra charge for canceling more than 30 days before the workshop. Cancellation within 30 days of the workshop will result in a fee of 10% of the standard price for the scheduled number of days and students. If however the number of students has not yet been scheduled, the cancellation fee is a flat $2000 (USD). Contact Wes to schedule.
Facilities Needed The customer should provide a personal computer (PC) or laptop with Windows (or equivalent) for each student plus a lecture/workshop room with space for each student and their assigned computer. The customer should also provide a PC-connectable projector and a projection screen (or area) at the front of the class. Each student should have 1) a calculator, 2) a ruler, and 3) some notepaper. SuperSMITH installation is desirable prior to class start, but software installation/use can be deferred to 2nd day.