Wes Fulton and/or Carl Tarum
Phone 310-548-6358
Weibull
Engineering ONLINE Workshops
Produced
by Wes Fulton and/or Carl Tarum based upon the handbook by Dr. Abernethy
NOTE: Each
participant should purchase Dr. Bob Abernethy`s Weibull Handbook for delivery
prior to class. Link here: BOOK
Day ONLINE Workshop: Our online seminar features front-to-back treatment of
The New Weibull Handbook(c) latest edition. Each attendee also receives the
FULL SuperSMITH(TM) software latest version including
two afternoons of hands-on computer use, plus the PlayTIME(TM)
tutorial booklet available on-line covering every type of problem and every
related software option. This workshop is designed to bring the novice up to
expert capability. Topics include failure analysis, optimal parts replacement,
cost analysis, failure prediction, warranty analysis, system modeling,
reliability-growth, alternate fitting solutions, test planning, confidence, and
accelerated testing.
Day Extra Capability
ONLINE Workshop: The ONLINE Workshop Plus Either Follow Up Consulting or
More on Model Simulation . . . The four-day workshop includes the ONLINE workshop
above plus either time for student presentations of their own real problems or
time for system simulation overview. Analysis of real customer problems allows
Wes or Carl and the class to serve as a consulting forum reviewing each
problem. The students are asked to bring one or more of their own problems to
the workshop. Students get consulting on their real problems and show how they
are applying the new techniques learned. Managers are invited. Alternatively,
time may be devoted to system simulation tools for building models of any level
of complexity regarding reliability, maintainability, safety, spare parts,
logistics analysis and warranty-guarantee costs including experience with
computer simulation models.
Day Management
Overview: Before or after a complete
Workshop, a half-day presentation to senior managers can provide an overview of
this new technology including application to their problems.
Day Refresher: Weibull
Rally . . . One day is devoted to updating
experienced analysts (Weibull Workshop Alumni or equivalent) on the newest
Weibull / Log-Normal technology and SuperSMITH
software. This would be scheduled in conjunction with a Workshop at the
same facility. Rally students have access to the software and receive the
Handbook and access to the PlayTIME tutorial.
Fees ($USD) For
Weibull Workshops
To
Be Purchased by/for Each Participant Each
participant should have Dr. Bob Abernethy`s Weibull Handbook purchased and
delivered to them before the start of the workshop (see above for link). This
will be the text for the presentation.
Included
The workshop fees for each student include: 1)
Training, 2) A FULL SuperSMITH software license
(Weibull, Visual, and Ybath programs . . . for price
without class Select Here), 3) Access to the free
online `PlayTIME with SuperSMITH`
computer tutorial, 4) Graduation certificate, 5) On-line meeting with Zoom or
with customer`s preferred meeting platform.
Site-License For clients that book 2 or more compete workshops (3 or 4 day each), we provide a current-version unlimited SuperSMITH software site license. Here ``unlimited`` means any quantity of purchaser`s workers are allowed to use the software simultaneously for purchaser`s business.
FIGURE
BELOW SHOWS RISK ANALYSIS FOR 18-WHEELER:
Online Workshop
Advantages Tailor the workshops to
your specific needs. We can use your data and problems during the special
computer tutorial. We can add, or delete, or emphasize specific topics. The
students are invited to bring their own problems to the workshop. The cost per
student is about half of the fee for public workshops and there are no travel
costs for the students. The New Weibull Handbook should be available well in
advance to allow study before the workshop. If interest develops to have an
on-site workshop at your facility, we can provide more details to facilitate
this tailoring. A 2-day refresher Workshop for experienced Weibull analysts is
another option. All workshop formats provide opportunity to brief your
management with a special overview of this new technology.
New
Technology Life data analysis is on
the leading edge of technology with many techniques developed by Wes and Dr.
Bob. New development and continuous improvement proceed with Wes, Carl Tarum,
and others. The workshop is updated to include all recommended state-of-the-art
methods in The New Weibull Handbook(c) self-published by Dr. Bob.
Examples:
q Failure forecasting is presented based upon constant or seasonal variation usage, optimal parts replacement, and variable production rates. Predictive interval estimates as well as point estimates of future failures are provided as tables or plots, including cost forecasting and warranty analysis.
q Warranty claims predictions include all of the above features plus warranty limit effects on claims predictions. Crow-AMSAA and Kaplan-Meier models are both used for warranty. The software uses the newly available AIAG standard truck histograms of usage.
q The new application of Weibull for controlling production processes is presented.
q Many new applications of Crow-AMSAA plus new goodness-of-fit methods.
q For small sample confidence, the new pivotal Monte Carlo method is best practice for regression and the MLE-RBA method using the justified likelihood function (JLF) eliminates the small-sample bias with MLE.
q Better ways to compare new design to old design, and supplier A vs. supplier B, etc.
Availability It is best to block in dates as soon as possible, since the lecturers are usually obligated 6-10 months ahead. There is no extra charge for canceling more than 30 days before the workshop. Cancellation within 30 days of the workshop will result in a fee of 10% of the standard price for the scheduled number of days and students. If however the number of students has not yet been scheduled, the cancellation fee is a flat $2000 (USD). Contact Wes or Dr. Bob to schedule.
Facilities Needed The customer should provide a personal computer (PC) or laptop with Windows (or equivalent) for each student plus a lecture/workshop room with space for each student and their assigned computer. Each student should have 1) a calculator, 2) a ruler, and 3) some notepaper. SuperSMITH installation is desirable prior to class start, but software installation/use can be deferred to 2nd day.